• 19
Wondering how much Tesla Motors might be worth on the open market? It would seem the actual figure would depend you who you ask. Based on the assumption that Daimler paid $50 million for nine-percent of Tesla, the Silicon Valley automaker would theoretically be worth $550 million.

According to SharesPost, a firm that bills itself as a community for private equity transactions and the central hub for private company research and valuation data, Tesla's value is actually much higher: roughly $1 billion. To come up with that figure, SharesPost contracted Next Up Research to create a report that supposedly takes into account current revenue from Roadster sales as well as expected revenue from the Tesla Model S and a future electric vehicle, codenamed Blue Star, which will be smaller and cost less than the S.

Next Up outlines the potential risks in investing in a startup automaker like Tesla, such as a "lack of significant cost or performance advantage" over conventional sports cars, the vast number of expected competitors and possible safety issues with using advanced lithium ion batteries.

Clearly, there are some major assumptions at work here.



[Source: Earth2Tech]


I'm reporting this comment as:

Reported comments and users are reviewed by Autoblog staff 24 hours a day, seven days a week to determine whether they violate Community Guideline. Accounts are penalized for Community Guidelines violations and serious or repeated violations can lead to account termination.


    • 1 Second Ago
  • 19 Comments
      • 5 Years Ago
      I give it 2 years before it goes under and gets bought out by Tata or SAIC no way can US company compete against Japanese/Korean autos let alone the tide of Indian and Chinese autos rising in the horizon.
      • 5 Years Ago
      Ooooo, I love black box valuations!

      It's not that Daimler really believes Tesla is work $550M. $50M isn't much of a flier for them to take to buy a bunch of goodwill and then jettison a useless piece of garbage once they've stripped out all the relevant technology for their own use. Please see Ford: Th!nk.
      HotRodzNKustoms
      • 5 Years Ago
      I like their math.

      Doesn't mean their math is right.
      • 5 Years Ago
      as an investment banker, the process outlined is simply idiotic. Tesla has competition and more coming. The risk of execution is high as is that of technology. There are disputes in various courts. Discount the $550m accordingly, and we come up with less than 250m
        • 5 Years Ago
        Hi Andre, Any chance you can score me an interview at an investment bank?

        I too want to get paid 80K-100K a year.
        • 5 Years Ago
        "as an investment banker"

        okay, your opinion just became irrelevant to me.
      • 5 Years Ago
      Hm, Tesla, having sold 500 cars is valued at $1B. That's about $2,000,000 per sold vehicle.

      I guess there are the same valuation model in play as one used to calculate Yahoo's price at $400/share in 2000: we sold 10 cars in year 2008, 500 in 2009, which is roughly 4,900% annual growth rate, assuming the same growth in perpetuity the present value of all future cash flows is $1B.
        • 5 Years Ago
        Can you read??

        "To come up with that figure, SharesPost contracted Next Up Research to create a report that supposedly takes into account current revenue from Roadster sales as well as expected revenue from the Tesla Model S and a future electric vehicle, codenamed Blue Star, which will be smaller and cost less than the S."

        The estimate is not just based on the Roadster, and said, the unique technology they control the patents to is HIGHLY valuable. Just goes to show dumb GM was to dismantle their EV program (no mass production guaranteed it would be expensive and unprofitable btw). Had they rolled out strategically and invested over the years they would have been a serious leader right now.
      • 5 Years Ago
      Not even Preston Tucker would use a valuation model like this...
      • 5 Years Ago
      Poor suckers going into SharesPost and buying stocks lol They are doing the same thing the bankers and brokers did with the housing market, over value the portfolio to make a bigger chunk of money on trades lol...
        • 5 Years Ago
        The bankers and financers made profits by handing out variable rate mortgages that shut up with incredible interest rates down the future (how they made those huge profits), and then went and sold those mortgages as securities to other banks, institutions, governments, etc...knowing that those people would never be able to keep paying at the higher interest rates. Explain again how this is like what the bankers and brokers did?
      • 5 Years Ago
      SMALLER than the S? I'd like some more details on this BlueStar vehicle... is it going to be a one seater?
        • 5 Years Ago
        D'oh! I momentarily got the two of those mixed up.
      • 5 Years Ago
      Any idea what GM worth, Ford for comparison?
      • 5 Years Ago
      Oops...that 2006 apparently is 2008, so I take back what I said about only showing real numbers for 2006. In any case, where do they get revenue of $1.5 billion in 2009 -- not gonna happen. And it looks like they show revenue of approx $100 million for 2008; the numbers I can find are about half that ($45 million).
      • 5 Years Ago
      That chart indicates revenue of $1.5 billion for 2009 based on Roadster sales. That appears to be off by an order of magnitude; Tesla expects to sell 1500 roadsters in 2009. Assuming a sales price of $120,000 that would only bring in $180 million. I suspect this chart is 3 years old anyway, since the only show actual numbers for 2006. In other words, that valuation is nonsense.
      • 4 Years Ago
      there is a bigger picture to yhis company
    • Load More Comments