Lucid Motors’ Future is Uncertain and the Cash Burn is Real

Although Lucid vehicles get rave reviews from the motoring press, the real story behind the company is far less glamorous.

Contributing Writer, Autoblog
Lucid Gravity

Lucid Gravity

Lucid Motors
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Update (8/19/25): Lucid Motors’ Vice President of Communications, Nick Twork, contacted us to add a comment to this article.

  1. Our financial footing is stronger than portrayed

Yes, 2024 reflected significant investment and cash flow used to build our business, but that is entirely by design. These expenditures were strategic, aimed at scaling production, launching the Lucid Gravity SUV, and establishing the world-class manufacturing capability we now have.

Autoblog’s suggestion that our “future is uncertain” ignores that we have projected to more than double production, from approximately 9,000 vehicles in 2024 to 18,000 to 20,000 in 2025, as stated on our Q2 earnings call. That projection is not speculation, it is based on real production targets tied to Gravity and Air model rollouts. Furthermore, Uber’s $300 million investment and commitment to deploy at least 20,000 Lucid EVs as robotaxis is a powerful endorsement from one of the most influential mobility players in the world.

  1. Our liquidity runway is real and robust

Contrary to implications in the article, we are not teetering on the brink of collapse. We ended Q2 2025 with $4.86 billion in liquidity, which, while you reported, you completely mischaracterized the fact that this is in fact liquidity that we can draw down to support our business. We strategically invest this liquidity. Your characterization suggests that someone who has money in their savings account cannot access it unless it is in the checking account. Furthermore, we have shown time and time again that we have strategic support from the Saudi Public Investment Fund, our majority stakeholder, which stands behind us as a long-term partner.

  1. Misplaced alarm over “cash burn” rhetoric

Yes, creating a premium automotive brand in the EV space comes at a high initial cost. But this is not a bug, it is a feature. We are investing to capture the luxury EV market, to build high-performance, long-range vehicles that lead the segment, including the Gravity SUV and the upcoming midsize vehicle launch in 2026. This takes a lot of capital and therefore our cash usage is not burn, it is investment in our future product pipeline.

As numerous analysts have observed, Lucid’s approach is fundamentally different from speculative embattled startups. We have clear technology leadership, credible vision, and institutional, and sovereign, backing. That is something the Autoblog narrative obscures, intentionally or not.

Rising sales can’t hide deep losses

When you see a Lucid Air Sapphire drive by, it’s hard not to stare. The $250,000, 1,234-horsepower luxury EV gets attention. Lucid is also getting its fair share of negative attention these days due to massive losses amounting to $790 million amid a record $259 million in revenue. Lucid’s year-over-year sales volume of 3,309 vehicles is its best yet, but that doesn’t cover up the fact that the company is struggling.

Lucid Air and Gravity side by side
Lucid
Lucid

Although Lucid vehicles get rave reviews from the motoring press, the real story behind the company is far less glamorous. Sales are up, but losses are far greater. What’s going on with Lucid Motors, after all, and will it manage to dig itself out of a financial tailspin?

Why do Lucid’s books look so bad?

Lucid Gravity
Lucid Gravity
Lucid Motors

Lucid Group has a fat cash cushion of $4.86 billion in total liquidity, but only about $3.63 billion of that is in cash, cash equivalents, and investments. Less than $2 billion is actually liquid. That’s not enough to help them in their time of need. The company incurs mounting losses of a billion dollars every few months, so its funds are dwindling.

At the time of this writing, Lucid stock is at $2.18 per share, in penny stock territory. The share price was $55 in November of 2021. The dire stock price forced the company into a reverse stock split a few weeks ago (ten shares consolidated into one) just to stay compliant with NASDAQ listing requirements.

Lucid Air Pure
Lucid Air Pure

Lucid

Investors are already doubtful about Lucid’s future. Officially, Lucid states that it can continue to operate through mid-2026. Unofficially, the company will likely need a significant cash infusion, comparable to the $4.4 billion it raised in 2021 when it went public. That’s a lot to ask when you keep digging a hole for yourself.

The Public Investment Fund (PIF) from Saudi Arabia could be its saviour. Lucid’s largest shareholder owns about 60% of the company and has acted as its safety net since day one. With hundreds of billions in assets, the PIF has the means to keep the company afloat, but do they actually want to keep losing money when the math is not on Lucid’s side? Lucid Group spent more than $850 million this quarter to generate just $260 million, which may not be the best investment.

The leadership crisis doesn’t help

Bloomberg/Getty Images

One of the largest obstacles to investor confidence and wise direction is the fact that there’s still no permanent CEO to helm the ship. Leadership uncertainty only compounds the risk. The company still hasn’t replaced former CEO Peter Rawlinson, who left in February 2025, leaving interim leadership to steer the company through a high-stakes turnaround. Rawlinson transitioned to the position of Strategic Technical Advisor to the Board Chairman. Marc Winterhoff, the company’s Chief Operating Officer, was appointed as the interim CEO. As yet, Rawlinson’s successor hasn’t been named.

Bloomberg/Getty Images

Meanwhile, Lucid’s future bets are still works in progress. The Gravity SUV, touted as the brand’s volume driver, has yet to deliver meaningful sales, and production challenges remain. Lucid will start making volume deliveries next year. Orders for the Grand Touring trim are currently open, while orders for the less expensive Touring trim will open in late 2025. The real make-or-break moment could arrive in late 2026 when Lucid plans to launch a more affordable, sub-$50,000 mid-sized electric SUV purportedly dubbed ‘Earth’. This could be the brand’s ticket to achieving volume sales, but the question remains whether the company will live to see the day.

Final thoughts

The polish and power of Lucid vehicles are deceptive. Underneath the shiny surface, Lucid is running out of time to prove it can be more than a niche luxury automaker burning through mountains of cash at accelerated rates. Its deep-pocketed Saudi investors may decide to keep writing checks to try to save Lucid’s bacon, but the appetite for doing so may be dwindling. It would be in the brand’s best interest to find a CEO ASAP, as well as bring its more affordable SUV to market as quickly as possible.


About the author

Amos Kwon

Contributing Writer, Autoblog

Amos is an automotive editor and writer with a decade of experience in the industry. He has served as the automotive editor for prominent lifestyle publications such as Gear Patrol and Cool Material, with his work also appearing in Askmen, Inside Hook, and Fatherly. His analysis is informed by a lifelong passion for cars and extensive hands-on experience with high-performance vehicles on both road and track. He lives in the suburbs of Chicago.