The study looked at motorcycle fatality data for the whole country, from January through September 2013. It projects that the final figure for deaths will be down 7 percent in 2013 to 4,610, compared to 4,957 in 2012 and 4,612 in 2011. Lethal crashes fell in 35 states in 2013, increased in 13 states and remained the same in 2. This is only the second time there has been a year-over-year decrease since 1997.
The reason for the lower fatalities isn't that motorcycles are suddenly safer. The report postulates that weather was the defining factor in the decrease. The climate in 2012 was significantly warmer and drier than average for much of the year compared to 2011 or 2013, which led to an increase in riders. Last year, it returned to normal, and it kept people in many regions off their bikes.
While fatalities are down slightly, motorcycle safety is about the same as it was in 1997, the year with the fewest cycle deaths. In '97, there were 2,116 cycle deaths and about 3.8 million bikes on the road for a mortality rate of 5.53 per 10,000 motorcycles. Final 2011 data showed 4,612 fatal crashes and about 8.4 million bikes for a rate of 5.46 per 10,000. In the same time, the rate for passenger vehicles has gone from 1.7 in '97 to 0.89 in '11.
To actually make motorcycles safer, the GHSA has multiple recommendations, but the biggest among them is mandatory helmet laws. While many riders don't like them, the protective gear has been shown to increase survival rates by over a third.
In a year, it will be interesting to see if this year's cool conditions show a further drop in fatalities. Scroll down to read the press release about the study from the GHSA or dig into the whole, 23-page report as a PDF, here.
Overall Motorcyclist Safety Has Not Improved in 15 Years
WASHINGTON, D.C.-For only the second year since 1997, U.S. motorcyclist fatalities are projected to decrease in 2013, according to a new analysis of preliminary state data released today by the Governors Highway Safety Association (GHSA). The latest Spotlight on Highway Safety report also notes that despite the probable 7 percent decrease in rider deaths, motorcyclist safety has not improved in fifteen years.
All 50 states and the District of Columbia provided preliminary motorcyclist fatality counts for the first nine months of 2013 and insights into why their numbers increased or decreased. Compared with the first nine months of 2012, motorcyclist fatalities decreased in 35 states and the District of Columbia, increased in 13 states, and remained the same in two. The report was authored by Dr. James Hedlund of Highway Safety North, a former senior official with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).
Dr. Hedlund has done similar analyses for GHSA every year since 2009, with remarkable accuracy. Based on this experience, he projects the final motorcyclist fatality total for 2013 will be 4,610 – approximately 7 percent less than the 4,957 recorded in 2012 and nearly identical to the 4,612 motorcyclist deaths in 2011. This means motorcyclist deaths would have declined more than the total traffic fatality decrease of 3.7 percent for the first nine months of 2013 estimated by NHTSA.
While this is good news, the report points out that in 2011 motorcycles produced six times more occupant fatalities per registered vehicles than passenger vehicles. Using this same measure, passenger vehicle occupants were twice as safe in 2011 as compared to 1997, but motorcyclist safety has not improved in that period.
Weather, according to the report, was the predominate factor to explain the drop in motorcyclist fatalities from 2012 to 2013. The first six months of 2012 were unusually warm and dry across the nation, prompting an uptick in ridership. The weather in the first nine months of 2013, however, was cooler and wetter, similar to 2011, when fatalities dropped in many states. GHSA Members nationwide echoed this finding.
"It's heartening that motorcyclist fatalities didn't increase over the past couple of years, but they're not decreasing either," said Kendell Poole, GHSA Chairman and Director of the Tennessee Office of Highway Safety. "Long-term gains in motorcyclist safety won't occur because riders are deterred by bad weather, but from consistent use of proven countermeasures."
Poole pointed to the importance of all states adopting universal helmet laws. "By far, helmets are the single most effective way to prevent serious injury and death in the event of a motorcycle crash. But states are going backward when it comes to enacting this proven, lifesaving countermeasure."
Currently, only 19 states and DC have universal helmet laws. Another 28 require helmet use by riders younger than age 18 or 21, and three have no requirement. According to NHTSA, in 2012, there were 10 times as many unhelmeted motorcyclist fatalities in states without universal helmet laws, compared to states with universal helmet laws. Nationwide, helmet use dropped to 60 percent in 2012, down from 66 percent in 2011.
In addition to increasing helmet use, the report also recommends that states:
Reduce alcohol impairment. In 2011, 29 percent of fatally injured riders had a blood alcohol concentration above the legal limit of .08.
Reduce speeding. According to the most recent data, 35% of riders involved in fatal crashes were speeding, and nearly half of these crashes didn't involve another vehicle.
Provide motorcycle training to all who need or seek it. While all states currently offer training, some courses may not be provided at locations and times convenient for riders.
Ensure motorcyclists are properly licensed. In 2011, 22 percent of motorcycle riders involved in fatal crashes did not have a valid motorcycle license, compared to 12 percent of passenger vehicle drivers involved in fatal crashes. The motorcycle license test prompts riders to complete a training course. By encouraging licensing, states encourage training.
Encourage all drivers to share the road with motorcyclists. According to NHTSA, when motorcycles crash with other vehicles, the latter usually violates the motorcyclist's right of way. Many states conduct "share the road" campaigns to increase awareness of motorcyclists.
States partially fund their motorcycle safety efforts with federal money from NHTSA. Currently, Congress restricts state programs by permitting them to only address motorcyclist training and programs that encourage drivers to share the rode with motorcyclists. With work underway on the next transportation reauthorization bill, GHSA is calling on Congress to permit states to fund effective approaches to addressing motorcyclist safety, such as programs that increase helmet use and reduce drunk driving.
All data in the report are preliminary. The report presents data through September 2013. State-by-state data and image files are available from GHSA.
# # #