• Image Credit: Tesla Motors
  • Tesla Model X
  • Tesla Model X

  • Tesla Model X
  • Tesla Model X

  • Tesla Model X
  • Tesla Model X

  • Tesla Model X
  • Tesla Model X

  • Tesla Model X
  • Tesla Model X

  • Tesla Model X
  • Tesla Model X

  • Tesla Model X
  • Tesla Model X

  • Tesla Model X
  • Tesla Model X

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  • Tesla Model X

  • Tesla Model X
  • Tesla Model X

  • Tesla Model X
  • Tesla Model X

  • Tesla Model X
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  • Tesla Model X

The Tesla Model X is not due until the end of the year, but the preorders apparently continue to rush in. While there has been no official statement - we've asked, but Tesla declined to comment - a set of crowdsourced numbers over at the Tesla Motors Club (TMC) adds up to over 12,00 people excitedly awaiting a new EV.

Since Tesla isn't talking, we'll say 12,000 is a reasonable guess.

TMC used reservation numbers submitted by people in the queue to come up with 12,000. That number breaks down to 9,900 Model X orders from the US (around 1,350 of them the Signature Series), another 1,916 (202) from Europe and 384 (49) from Canada. Throw in an expected 764 (with an unknown number of Signature models) from China, and you get to a solid batch of preorders for the upcoming all-electric, AWD-only Model X. Over 13,000, in fact. TMC acknowledges that this number is higher than the expected real number of preorders because anyone who upgraded from the standard production version to a signature model gets counted twice in the system that TMC is using, and cancellations are not factored in.

We would not be surprised in the least if there are already over 10,000 people lined up for a Model X. It will be the first EV of its size on the market (aside from the Toyota RAV4 EV, which is only available in limited numbers) and it carries the Tesla cache. After all, Tesla sold over 20,000 Model S EVs in the US last year, so we know the company can make a popular EV. Lastly, Tesla got $40 million worth of preorders - that is, around 500 units - in the first four days that the CUV was available for deposits back in 2012. Since Tesla isn't talking, we'll say 12,000 is a reasonable guess.


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    • 1 Second Ago
  • 39 Comments
      Dave D
      • 11 Months Ago
      NO, NO, NO! Damn it, nobody listens anymore. My girls are both in college now and I don't NEED a large SUV type vehicle! I want to buy the next generation Tesla sports car now! When I start with the grandchildren thing in about 5 years, THEN you can build the Model E. Will someone please get Elon on the phone and tell him to change his plans to meet my needs? :)
        flammablewater
        • 11 Months Ago
        @Dave D
        Yeah I'll just call him up. While I'm at it, I'll ask him to make a compact-size station wagon for me. Like an electric 510.
      purrpullberra
      • 11 Months Ago
      Fantastic news. So is that about 6-8 months of work, from November approximately? Order now , in the US, and get it in July?
      Eric2203
      • 11 Months Ago
      Mr Blanco, the Telsa brand has "cachet", not "cache".
        paulwesterberg
        • 11 Months Ago
        @Eric2203
        As a programmer I can assure you that the Model S also has cache, but that is an esoteric feature will not affect purchase decisions.
      David Murray
      • 11 Months Ago
      I'm at a loss as to why the Rav4-EV isn't selling any better than it is. I personally don't like SUVs but it seems like everyone else does. Plus it has more range than just about any other EV besides an actual Tesla.
        Grendal
        • 11 Months Ago
        @David Murray
        It's still a compliance car. It's a really good one, but they are limited and salespeople are likely pushing the gas powered one.
        Actionable Mango
        • 11 Months Ago
        @David Murray
        It has the stink of being a compliance car. Production is limited to 2600 units, sales is limited to California, the price is really high, and it has to compete against the standard RAV4.
          markrogo
          • 11 Months Ago
          @Actionable Mango
          The obnoxious base price is probably the single biggest issue on your otherwise comprehensive list.
      atc98092
      • 11 Months Ago
      I would very likely be a prime target for the Model X, but I doubt I will buy one. Why? The gull wing doors. I am quite sure they won't clear the overhead storage I have in my garage. I'll have to see one for real, of course, but I only have about 7 foot height in my garage. I built a storage loft above my car spaces (the garage itself has about 12' high ceiling), and I'm not going to remove it just to make room for this. I can't give up that much storage space!
        purrpullberra
        • 11 Months Ago
        @atc98092
        I think they might put some sort of height limiter on the doors the same way car makers have them on rear liftgates. I don't think I've heard of it yet, it's just a possibility. I wonder how much market research was done before Tesla came to the decision they did.
        archos
        • 11 Months Ago
        @atc98092
        Tesla already addressed this and no, nobody on earth cares about your unique, imaginary personal issues.
          Grendal
          • 11 Months Ago
          @archos
          Play nice. He was giving his personal issues which is an opportunity to pass on useful information to him. Dave and Joe brought up excellent points that might solve his problems.
        Joeviocoe
        • 11 Months Ago
        @atc98092
        reserve your judgement for when you can see it for yourself. It is possible you may be short a few inches, and the sensors may work well to detect your storage perfectly, and stop just short and hold there. Would that be suitable? If they only opened 95%? Still might be easier for ingress/egress than a traditional door. Ask Tesla if they would warranty any damages to a Model X or your garage, if the sensors fail to stop short of a low garage.
        purrpullberra
        • 11 Months Ago
        @atc98092
        I think they might put some sort of height limiter on the doors the same way car makers have them on rear liftgates. I don't think I've heard of it yet, it's just a possibility. I wonder how much market research was done before Tesla came to the decision they did.
          Joeviocoe
          • 11 Months Ago
          @purrpullberra
          Yes, it has already been demonstrated... Not only by height, but proximity.
          Joeviocoe
          • 11 Months Ago
          @purrpullberra
          Yes, it has already been demonstrated... Not only by height, but proximity.
          Joeviocoe
          • 11 Months Ago
          @purrpullberra
          Yes, it has already been demonstrated... Not only by height, but proximity.
          John Glenn Space
          • 11 Months Ago
          @purrpullberra
          The doors will actually feature proximity sensors to prevent them from hitting/striking anything when open/opening.
          Joeviocoe
          • 11 Months Ago
          @purrpullberra
          Yes, it has already been demonstrated... Not only by height, but proximity.
        atc98092
        • 11 Months Ago
        @atc98092
        You've all provided thoughtful comments (except archos), and I thank you. And you may be correct that it really isn't an issue. Sometimes a picture just doesn't show something clearly enough, and seeing it in person can provide a much better idea about something. I look forward to seeing it in person. Personally, I hope I'm wrong :)
        gpmp
        • 11 Months Ago
        @atc98092
        I think Tesla took your concerns into account when they designed the doors, which they call 'falcon wing' and not 'gull wing', since they articulate. If they can be open inside a garage and clear a standard garage door, they ought to clear your overhead storage.
        Dave
        • 11 Months Ago
        @atc98092
        I think the gullwing doors are pointless. But it appears that only the rear doors open gullwing style. So they wouldn't prevent you from pulling in and parking the car as long as you have no rear seat passengers.
          Ele Truk
          • 11 Months Ago
          @Dave
          They aren't pointless, they actually have a few good points: 1. You can stand up and step in and out of the 3rd row of seats (I don't know about you, but even in a mini-van crawling into the 3rd row is a pain in the tucus). 2. If you are a mom or dad, having that door over your head blocking the rain while you fiddle with the child's safety seat is very desirable. So load the groceries in the back, let the people in the back out before you pull into the garage, and you should be fine.
        atc98092
        • 11 Months Ago
        @atc98092
        You've all provided thoughtful information (except archos), and I thank you for that. Sometimes pictures don't show things clearly enough. I look forward to seeing one in person. Personally, I hope I'm wrong :)
      Marco Polo
      • 11 Months Ago
      Well done Tesla ! Another new EV model delivered in good time, with a strong pre-order book. Congratulation to Elon Musk, the team at Tesla and all Tesla's loyal shareholders.
        Electron
        • 11 Months Ago
        @Marco Polo
        Your praise might have sounded more sincere if you weren't also this forum's most ardent supporter of the cardealers (+GM) legal war on Tesla. Guess that opinion game doesn't work if you're not seen praising the company on occasion too.
        Ashton
        • 11 Months Ago
        @Marco Polo
        I think I'll save the pat on the back AFTER they launch the Model X...not before.
      Grendal
      • 11 Months Ago
      There will be some dropouts. That happened with the Model S too. Some will drop out of the Production line to jump into the Signature line and vice-versa. Overall there was a 10% to 20% loss in the Model S. So there are at least 10K preorders that will get the car. We still have eight months to go before the first car leaves the factory. It will be easy to say that there will be a minimum wait of 6 to 8 months before you get your car after production begins if you decide you want one today. Non-sequitur Tesla news: Robert Llewellyn reviewed the Model S in this week's Fully Charged: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bv2UE7sNBfA&list=UUzz4CoEgSgWNs9ZAvRMhW2A Quick summary: He loved it.
      Smoking_dude
      • 11 Months Ago
      Of course there are 12k reservations. Look to norway. there could meet a 4 digit number. look at the dealer. teslas as fas as the eye can see https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ez0o0ZbxzSc
        Joeviocoe
        • 11 Months Ago
        @Smoking_dude
        Holy effn shiite Looks like the Tesla boat arrived in Norway.
      Joeviocoe
      • 11 Months Ago
      May want to add to the Article: "Requires $5,000 USD - Reservation Payment" Just in case since some people would like to compare it to other vehicles. Other vehicles have been known to count "hand raisers" who didn't pay a cent as a "reservation", or count a $99 down payment as a "reservation". The dollar amount really speaks to commitment. And at $5000, Tesla should really retain 80% - 90% (barring no major delays). Does anyone remember what the Leafs retention percentage was?
        Joeviocoe
        • 11 Months Ago
        @Joeviocoe
        Yes, I remember that. I too was a holder of a reservation. But at $99... and a full refund when I changed my mind.... there was no reason to NOT get a reservation. I think there are a LOT of people who could have easily been turned off by Nissan and cancelled. And you are right, Nissan's customer service made it all too easy to make that decision. Tesla has had a great customer service record, yet they have also had delays and price increases. My point is that $5,000 certainly does clear out the fence sitters, and is enough of an investment to keep people holding in spite of setbacks.
        Joeviocoe
        • 11 Months Ago
        @Joeviocoe
        Yes, I remember that. I too was a holder of a reservation. But at $99... and a full refund when I changed my mind.... there was no reason to NOT get a reservation. I think there are a LOT of people who could have easily been turned off by Nissan and cancelled. And you are right, Nissan's customer service made it all too easy to make that decision. Tesla has had a great customer service record, yet they have also had delays and price increases. My point is that $5,000 certainly does clear out the fence sitters, and is enough of an investment to keep people holding in spite of setbacks.
        paulwesterberg
        • 11 Months Ago
        @Joeviocoe
        I signed up for a leaf reservation, but ended up dropping it because: Nissan raised the price by 3k even for those who had reservations. It took a year longer for them to start sales in my area. Their system of ordering for reservation holders forced me to buy through a dealer at msrp without negotiating which effectively added another $2k to the price of the vehicle. I did eventually end up leasing a leaf once Nissan started manufacturing at its plant in Tennessee and dropped the price back down, but I feel like Nissan did a poor job of customer relationship management which led to fewer initial sales based on reservations.
      nick
      • 11 Months Ago
      "over 12,00 people excitedly awaiting a new EV." There's a missing 0 near the end of the first paragraph.
      Zapbrannigan
      • 11 Months Ago
      I imagine a lot of the pre orders are from model s owners looking for something bigger with awd to take on skiing trips etc
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