Driven by fleet and long-distance truck operators who want to save money in the face of climbing gasoline prices, global natural-gas truck sales will likely increase about 15 percent a year for the next six years, Pike Research predicts.

While compressed natural gas (CNG) vehicles are far more prevalent than liquefied natural gas (LNG) trucks (there are only about 100 LNG refueling stations worldwide), sales of LNG vehicles will increase about 17 percent a year, compared to CNG's growth rate of about 14 percent. In all, Pike expects about 930,000 natural-gas vehicles will be sold worldwide between 2012 and 2019. Currently, the US has about 1,100 CNG refueling stations, compared to just 61 LNG stations, according to the US Department of Energy.

Vehicle makers and prospective customers have looked to natural-gas fueled vehicles as a way to cut dependency on oil that's produced in politically unstable regions, especially given the abundance of natural gas in North America. General Motors is one of the companies that have expanded the number of trucks that can run on CNG, and Honda has long produced a CNG-powered Civic for US drivers. Check out Pike Research's press release below.
Show full PR text
Nearly 1 Million Natural Gas Trucks and Buses Will Be Sold Worldwide from 2012 to 2019, Forecasts Pike Research

BOULDER, Colo.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Because trucks and buses use significant amounts of fuel and tend to emit high levels of greenhouse gases (GHGs), diesel and natural gas (NG) vehicles are increasingly attractive options in these commercial markets. At the same time, the rebounding construction industry is pushing growth in the overall truck market while cities and municipalities look to expand their public transit systems. According to a recent report from Pike Research, a part of Navigant's Energy Practice, sales of natural gas trucks and buses will expand steadily over the remainder of the decade. More than 930,000 of these vehicles will be sold worldwide from 2012 to 2019, the study concludes.

"What's more, compared to diesel engines, natural gas provides a financial benefit. In most cases, the higher incremental cost of an NG vehicle is typically recovered, due to lower fuel costs, within two to seven years."

"NG vehicles emit substantially lower levels of GHGs, particulate matter, and nitrogen oxide than either gasoline- or diesel-powered trucks and buses," says senior research analyst Dave Hurst. "What's more, compared to diesel engines, natural gas provides a financial benefit. In most cases, the higher incremental cost of an NG vehicle is typically recovered, due to lower fuel costs, within two to seven years."

NG trucks typically run on compressed natural gas (CNG) because their tanks weigh less and are less costly than those for liquefied natural gas (LNG). LNG trucks, however, are increasingly used as longer range vehicles (400 miles or more compared to 150 to 300 miles for CNG vehicles) and are seeing higher growth rates than CNG trucks (17 percent versus 14 percent in heavy duty trucks). The worldwide breakdown of refueling stations for these two types of natural gas is 117 LNG refueling stations versus 20,233 CNG refueling stations. About 45 percent of the LNG refueling stations are located in the United States, even though China has the largest annual sales for LNG fueled trucks, with 3,020 vehicle sales in 2012.

The report, "Natural Gas Trucks and Buses", analyzes the global market opportunity for natural gas vehicles in the medium and heavy duty truck and bus markets. The report provides a comprehensive assessment of the current market, fuel availability, demand drivers, policy factors, and technology issues associated with the growth of these vehicles. Key industry players are profiled in depth, and worldwide NG vehicle sales, vehicle segment sales, and cumulative refueling station availability are forecast through 2019. An Executive Summary of the report is available for free download on the Pike Research website.

About Pike Research
Pike Research, which joined Navigant's global Energy Practice on July 1, 2012, provides in-depth analysis of global clean technology markets. The team's research methodology combines supply-side industry analysis, end-user primary research and demand assessment, and deep examination of technology trends to provide a comprehensive view of the Smart Energy, Smart Utilities, Smart Transportation, Smart Industry, and Smart Buildings sectors. Additional information about Pike Research can be found at www.navigant.com/pikeresearch.
About Navigant
Navigant (NYSE: NCI) is a specialized, global expert services firm dedicated to assisting clients in creating and protecting value in the face of critical business risks and opportunities. Through senior level engagement with clients, Navigant professionals combine technical expertise in Disputes and Investigations, Economics, Financial Advisory and Management Consulting, with business pragmatism in the highly regulated Construction, Energy, Financial Services and Healthcare industries to support clients in addressing their most critical business needs. More information about Navigant can be found at www.navigant.com.


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    • 1 Second Ago
  • 31 Comments
      roadkill
      • 2 Years Ago
      What many here dont get is there is a huge advantage to a dedicated cng/lpg engine its a pretty different fuel to petrol eg I just bought a recent factory dedicated lpg ford falcon here in OZ they have been doing dedicated lpg for ages but this is a new system & they tweaked the normally petrol inline 6 4L a bit - well a lot actually - maybe 10% higher compression due to octane ratings of lpg, different pistons, valves? .... - but the killer is they used liquid injection direct to the head (LPI) vs prev dedicated lpg - results are astounding 27% more power - 10% more torque & lower down Seriously, it blows off the petrol identical car in a drag race - yet here anyway - its as cheap as a corolla on fuel - & its a big spacious powerful car my point? Imagine how much better that is than a dual fuel retrofit from some dodgy mechanic? even the factory dodge ram is a compromise - cng/petrol the honda cng civic is not if u can live with the range anxiety (200 miles ~) - as in socal where there are many filling stations - its a fantastic option if u can fill from home - so cheap - like 1$ PGE ~ & 32mpg hgwy
      Ford Future
      • 2 Years Ago
      Solar will be cheaper then All Other energy sources in 7 Years. You've got to be a fool to buy a fleet of these when this fuel will be more expensive year after year, while solar will drive down energy costs from now into the future.
        2 wheeled menace
        • 2 Years Ago
        @Ford Future
        Edison said solar panels were the future in the 1930's.. I'm still waiting man.. :) too bad we just got tarrifs put on Chinese panels..
      2 wheeled menace
      • 2 Years Ago
      *blows pike research rape whistle*
        Ron Wagner
        • 2 Years Ago
        @2 wheeled menace
        Pike is playing down the potential for natural gas vehicle adoption. I have been trying to figure out what forces are at work in Detroit, holding back CNG vehicles. A normally priced CNG light duty pickup and large SUV would be the answer. They should only be about five thousand more. Many vans and small SUVs are available in Europe. I expect Dodge/Fiat to bring out more CNG vehicles next year. Marchionne is big on them.
      Ford Future
      • 2 Years Ago
      Wow. They're Rich Republicans really going to Wipe Out Rural Republicans, with US Fracking. Incredible. Time to buy Cancer Center Stock.
        Marcopolo
        • 2 Years Ago
        @Ford Future
        @ Ford Future No matter how passionately you feel after watching 'Gasland' for the 300th time, your endless unsubstantiated comments about the evil of fracking, and repeated hatred of Republicans, grow tiresome. You have become as meaningless, and irritating as poorly made advertisements, repeated ad nauseum. Try posting something new and properly researched and well reasoned.
      brotherkenny4
      • 2 Years Ago
      CNG and LNG for vehicles will make for a nice domestically produced niche market. We actually should be interested in many other domestic small markets too. However, the price and supply are somewhat less stable than what one might believe if listening to the hype coming from the producers. I would suggest we adopt slowly and that the best application is in trucks and commercial fleets, not passenger cars. Remember, natural gas is used by many for home heating, and an increased demand that leads to price rises in the range of 5-6 dollars per thousand cubic feet will be more detrimental to our economy rather than helpful. Silly american politicians are always looking for the one answer, because their followers are too stupid to live in a complicated world that requires an intelligent explaination. It's not helpful that the opposing sides like to exagerate the harm or the safety of the fracking technology. The arguments are strictly ideological, overblown and lacking in specificity, on both sides. I guess though, we listen only to blowhard talking heads who look good in a suit and have been vetted by the lawyers and money people. Too bad we can't think for ourselves.
      Ron Wagner
      • 2 Years Ago
      Check this out for the worldwide vehicle information:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_gas_vehicle
        Marcopolo
        • 2 Years Ago
        @Ron Wagner
        @ Ron Wagner Quite an informative article. Strangely the article omits Australia & NZ. Australia has the largest network of LPG service staions in the world (over 4000 outlets).
          Marcopolo
          • 2 Years Ago
          @Marcopolo
          @ Jesse Gurr That's ok, apology accepted, just buy me a beer next time you're passing through :) !
          Jesse Gurr
          • 2 Years Ago
          @Marcopolo
          Press release says there are only 117 LNG stations worldwide so how can Australia have more than that?
          Jesse Gurr
          • 2 Years Ago
          @Marcopolo
          Oh my bad.... Dyslexic moment. duhhhh I thought you were talking about LNG when you clearly said LPG.
      roadkill
      • 2 Years Ago
      What they do not state is whether those 1100? cng stations are public" big difference
      roadkill
      • 2 Years Ago
      If it counts for anything these days - done right gas engines are just drive and forget - the oil & plugs stay way cleaner way longer the engines have a dream existence & last forever There are no variables - it is always perfectly~ in tune
      LiteNRG1
      • 2 Years Ago
      What would really drive the demand for CNG vehicles is to really ease the regulations on CNG converted/adapted vehicles from the EPA and local govs. I would really like to add a CNG kit to my 01 Altima BUT it has to be EPA approved which done at a approved conversion shop and those cost a ton of $$$. If you install a CNG kit on a vehicle that is NOT EPA compliant, you face a $10K for everyday that you have the kit in your vehicle or something like that. Just allow people convert there vehicle to run on CNG, bring it for a really through state inspection at a shop that is approved for inspection for CNG vehicles, pay an inspection fee of around $199 and if pass, drive your newly converted CNG vehicle.
        Ron Wagner
        • 2 Years Ago
        @LiteNRG1
        I totally agree with you. Conversions are the way to go. Many areas do not do checks on vehicles, and we need people to just go ahead and do the deed. A form of civil disobedience. These are ridiculous laws. I would like a reference to your penalty though. I have not heard it, and need to put it in my conversion page on my natural gas blog. See it at ronwagnersrants.blogspot.com It is near the front of Part one. Thanks to Autoblog writer for the story!
          DaveMart
          • 2 Years Ago
          @Ron Wagner
          2WM: yeah, we have a legal requirement to make sure that the vehicles that we drive are approved as road worthy, and are not some sort of homebrew conversion, with the competence and experience of the person doing the conversion unknown, You think that unreasonable, and that anyone should be able to dabble about and put tanks which must contain an explosive gas under high pressure into their cars? The US educational system has a lot of other things to answer for, as well as the prevalence of creationism, it seems.
          2 wheeled menace
          • 2 Years Ago
          @Ron Wagner
          I understand your concern but i think you should have an avenue to do it legally if you know what you're doing. Like for example, i know how to put together an electric bicycle that can do 50mph and be completely safe, have better braking and handling than a motorcycle, and require less power to move along, but what i'm doing is completely illegal. But i have no avenue to register my electric bike as anything else. But i could buy a 100hp motorcycle and kill myself on it. It would be totally legal to buy and own such a thing. Or hey, you can buy a gas can and the gas could light you on fire and kill you.. refineries blow up all the time.. gas tankers blow up all the time.. kill thousands of people a year, but i can't ship a tiny rechargeable lithium battery even if i can prove it's safe. There is no rational risk assesment in our safety laws or regulations at all. So it is our duty as citizens to disobey laws that are not just. That's how we managed to end alcohol prohibition, state-sponsored segregation, and now ( finally ) marijuana prohibition. I agree that our educational system sucks and i don't like religion either. But that's another argument.
          DaveMart
          • 2 Years Ago
          @Ron Wagner
          Only 'engage in civil disobedience' by converting if you are particularly keen on voiding your insurance, since conversions which are against the law or unauthorised will certainly do that. I am not familiar with the legal framework in the US, but it seems likely that in the event of an accident in which your vehicle was involved and the insurance had been voided you might be liable to a custodial sentence. Against stiff competition this is some of the stupidest advice I have seen on this blog.
          2 wheeled menace
          • 2 Years Ago
          @Ron Wagner
          ^-- man, you Europeans are whipped..
          DaveMart
          • 2 Years Ago
          @Ron Wagner
          2WM: If people were only endangering themselves, or possible if they were only endangering themselves and their own family, I might say fair enough. Since conversion in inexpert hands can produce something uncomfortably like a bomb which might go off in a collision, I can't see anything good to say about putting up with people doing homebrew conversions, and if they do then they should be prepared to spend many years in prison. I've got no idea what an NG conversion would cost here as we don't use it in the UK, we use LPG as an alternative fuel, and you would certainly be prosecuted if you did not get a conversion passed as safe. The cost is fairly reasonable at around £750-2,000. I don't know how much CNG conversion costs in Europe, or even if it is much done, as there are plenty of CNG vehicles built by the manufacturers there, so if you want one you can buy one, new or second hand. I understand the premium is considerably less for a CNG vehicle most places in Europe than in the US,
          Marcopolo
          • 2 Years Ago
          @Ron Wagner
          @ DaveMart Wow, David, I couldn't agree more ! By all means people should be allowed to have their cars converted to any fuel they want. However it's absolutely essential that the government regulates the safety requirements and ensures compliance. There is no 'civil rights' issue about driving unregulated, dangerous vehicles on public highways !
          Jesse Gurr
          • 2 Years Ago
          @Ron Wagner
          Ron, You can get lots more info here: http://www.epa.gov/oms/consumer/fuels/altfuels/altfuels.htm I'm not totally sure on the penalty part but looking at "Final Rule" PDF document seems like it is treated like any other aftermarket parts or kits. Probably get your car impounded if caught. Then I read this: http://epw.senate.gov/envlaws/cleanair.pdf Section 205 lays out the fines for non-compliance. ranges from $2500 total to up to $25,000 /day depending on what section is in non-compliance. Getting it impounded would be better than these fines.
      DaveMart
      • 2 Years Ago
      Danny, please learn to read first if you want to try writing articles. You say: 'Pike expects about 930,000 natural-gas vehicles will be sold worldwide between 2012 and 2019.' The press release below says: 'According to a recent report from Pike Research, a part of Navigant's Energy Practice, sales of natural gas trucks and buses will expand steadily over the remainder of the decade. More than 930,000 of these vehicles will be sold worldwide from 2012 to 2019, the study concludes.' So that obviously does not include cars. It would be surprising if it did, since already: 'Worldwide, there were 14.8 million natural gas vehicles by 2011' http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_gas_vehicle Buses and trucks are a subset of vehicles, not interchangeable words. Your repeated incredibly sloppy journalism makes your site a laughing stock.
        DaveMart
        • 2 Years Ago
        @DaveMart
        Probably too harsh in view of the by-line for the story. Confusing, though.
      goodoldgorr
      • 2 Years Ago
      Will it have 2 tanks ( gasoline and nat gas) or just one tanks ?
        Ron Wagner
        • 2 Years Ago
        @goodoldgorr
        You can get it with a combined range of almost 600 miles including the gasoline tank.
        DaveMart
        • 2 Years Ago
        @goodoldgorr
        In Europe most of our CNG cars are dual fuel, so if you happen to be in an area where getting to a CNG pump is difficult you still have no worries. Fiat is the biggest producer in the world, and VW have designed their platforms so that all of them can be easily produced in CNG versions.
          goodoldgorr
          • 2 Years Ago
          @DaveMart
          That was was im hoping for. My next car will be dual fuel if ever they begin to open some cng stations. Maybe the town sewage plant can begin to produce some nat gas for depollution.
      Marcopolo
      • 2 Years Ago
      Natural gas vehicles, especially for commercial vehicles, have become really viable in nations with an abundance of natural gas. Environmentally, economically , and logistically the US should take advantage of it's vast reserves of this energy source (including NG power generation). Like all fossil fuel natural gas will become depleted on a large scale. But in the meantime, The US should definitely take advantage of it's national gas reserves to replace imported energy, and domestic coal production.
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