• Jun 22nd 2010 at 8:04AM
  • 6
Polls and studies are important, even when they predict very different things about the future of plug-in vehicles in the coming years, but it seems there is one really good way to get a handle on what the future holds: listen to the predictions of companies that are making decisions now about future powertrain components. It's not like they're trying to affect policy or people's opinions, right? They're just trying to get their upcoming product mix right.
With that in mind, here's what auto supplier Continental says is coming with regard to its electric and hybrid vehicle business in the next five years: a tenfold expansion thanks to working with "a number of automakers" in the U.S. and Europe, according to Automotive News (sub. req.). Sure, you can say that a 10x expansion from today's admittedly small numbers isn't that big a deal, but for Continental this means doing 400 million euros ($493 million U.S. at today's exchange rates) worth of plug-in vehicle business in 2015. Taking a look at the entire market, Continental's view is similar to Michelin's, in that electric and hybrid vehicles will make us up to five percent of the global market by 2020.

[Source: Automotive News – sub. req.]

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    • 1 Second Ago
      • 5 Years Ago
      The best way to tell how big an impact these things are going to have is the massive increase in 'studies' telling us how to pre-emtively think about them.
      Depeding on where the study come from we know that they will.

      Have either a massive or no impact on transportation as a percentage of overall usage.

      They will get dramatically cheaper or become too expensive to possibly continue to sell in short order.

      They will be a gold mine of opportunistic usage after living a useful-mileage lifetime - or they will be absolutely worthless after 5 years.

      Their range abilities will dramatically increase with continued research or their is no possible way they could get more dense or less weighty as we have discovered all possible knowable technologies already.

      It is enough to make your head spin - either with delight or madness or both.
      Either way it might make you vomit.
      • 5 Years Ago
      10 times zero is still zero..
        • 5 Years Ago
        Well, it is not exactly zero.

        Continental is the supplier for the electric motors that will be used by the upcoming Renaults.
        Just heard that in a report these days.

        So, surprisingly not just the exisiting Leaf motor.
      • 5 Years Ago
      Well given that there are only a few niche EV manufacturers actually selling cars right now(tesla =1000 per year), I predict a 100x increase in electric car sales in 10 years.
        • 5 Years Ago
        We should do a survey on the results of all these studies.. this is getting to be worse than when all the tobacco companies where fighting the smoking restrictions.
        • 5 Years Ago
        I predicted that years ago, when the electric RC ones arrived... those count too, right (if NEV do...)? Let's publish a study.
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