Filed under: Etc.
Russia Report: Say 'Hello' to Europe's largest auto market

"There are 20 million people in Moscow," my driver carefully enunciates in broken English, "and there are 50 million cars." Both figures are highly exaggerated, but considering the trek from the airport to the hotel should take around 45 minutes, and we're deep into our second hour of gridlock, his estimates almost seem plausible.
In reality, Moscow houses around 12 million of Russia's 143 million people, and only 20 percent of the total population owns a vehicle. Compare that to the rest of Europe (around 30 percent) and the U.S. (over 70 percent), and then add an expanding economy, and it's a wonder that the mainstream media insists on having Russia play third fiddle to China and India on the global automotive stage.
That's all changed this week.
We'll try to avoid statistics and projections as best we can, but the numbers speak volumes about Russia's pent-up demand for motorized transport. While Lada remains the de facto brand most pistonheads associate with the former communist republic (and remains the butt of several jokes), sales of foreign marques rose 46 percent so far this year, with units sold expected to crest three million in 2008 and doubling in the next few years. Russia is on course to become the largest automotive market in Europe, easily eclipsing Germany – where sales have remained flat -- by the end of 2008. This has caused several automakers to take the Russian market very seriously, and it's evident by the turnout at this week's Moscow International Motor Show.
Audi, BMW, Lexus, Mazda and Renault debuted new models to the world and nearly every major (and minor) automaker had stands to rival some of the biggest shows in Europe.
General Motors is one of several foreign automakers expanding its reach in Russia, both from a product and manufacturing standpoint. GM has seen sales increase exponentially over the last three years, with a 390 percent growth in Russia between 2004 and 2007, and sales up 60 percent for the first half of 2008. The General markets Chevrolet, Opel, Saab, Cadillac and HUMMER brands in Russia, with Chevy growing some 45 percent in 2008, along with Saab and Opel, which have seen sales increases of 77 and 95 percent, respectively. All of which have contributed to GM becoming the largest imported brand in the country.
In order to keep up with demand, GM, along with Toyota, Hyundai, Suzuki and Ford, are all expanding their manufacturing base in Russia. St. Petersburg has become the new boomtown for car production, taking the top slot away from Moscow where finding land and building plants has become prohibitively expensive. By the end of the year, GM will have increased its production capacity by 100,000 vehicles and has 156 dealers peddling its wares across the country, with more outlets coming online at a staggering pace.
So what's driving the market? A 13 percent flat tax is imposed and growing incomes have provided buyers with more expendable income. Gas is relatively inexpensive (around $1 per liter) and the middle class is growing at one of the highest rates in Europe. As you'd expect, sales of entry-level models have increased, with the Ford Focus and Chevy Lacetti leading the charge. But you'd be forgiven for thinking that incomes in Moscow reach into the stratosphere by the number of BMWs, Mercedes and Land Rovers trolling the congested streets.
"We are a young economy and people need to show their wealth and success." Alexander Gubsky, Russia Business Daily's deputy editor in chief told Autoblog. "[A] buyer may not be too wealthy, but he'll still buy a Mercedes."
This desire to be seen as affluent expands beyond the car market and into the retail sector, with every high-end outlet of overpriced wares sold in Russia's numerous upscale malls.
However, Russia's domestic automakers haven't been left out of the boom. Lada sales have increased 37 percent this year and with new, budget-oriented products in the pipeline, the automaker is capitalizing on some consumers' lack of badge snobbery. That same motivation is helping several Chinese automakers, which are quickly becoming a force to be reckoned with on the low end of the automotive totem pole.
While every automaker we talked to in Russia recognizes that the booming economy and steeply increasing car sales won't last forever, each is making a serious push to make their presence known. With sales remaining stagnant in several parts of the world and decreasing in the U.S., automakers recognize the necessity of capitalizing on the growth in expanding markets like Russia. How long it will continue remains to be seen, but in a booming economy, it's sometimes hard to focus on the long-term future.
Travel and lodging for our coverage and other media outlets was provided by GM.
Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
Edsel 8:26PM (8/28/2008)
13% Flat tax!
As a middle class U.S. citizen, I'm paying around 30% in taxes and government fees every year. It's no wonder the old communist block has an exploding economy while our tired old economy has an exploding socialist bureaucracy.
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Soccer Mom 8:34PM (8/28/2008)
Keep in mind "value added taxes" and other things that arise from highly convoluted taxation system and you get close to 40-50%. Then add bribes and other extras and you have well over 50%.
Flashpoint 12:26AM (8/29/2008)
First of all, Russia has been living in the dark ages for the past 30 years (just like China).
Economies like that have NOWHERE to go except UP!
That's why they are a developing economy while America's is DEVELOPED.
Furthermore, over 50% of the richest people in the world are Americans. Russia will steadily grow more powerful because of OIL WEALTH and the fact that unlike America, Russia exercises true foreign policy.
Russia is basically holding Europe hostage over there.
Russia combined with China makes the most powerful economic/political force in the world. Even America + Europe doesn't touch them.
ambientFLIER 9:22PM (8/28/2008)
Less than 4$ a gallon in Russia? Really???
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EVan 9:27PM (8/28/2008)
More like "Say 'Privyet' to Europe's largest auto-market"
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tankd0g 9:38PM (8/28/2008)
What with the new cold war starting up, it's a good time to be in any business related to weapons and the military in Russia, which like America is just about every corner of the economy.
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Rimu 11:45PM (8/28/2008)
The driver meant the so called "real" number of inhabitants of Moscow. This are a few million illegal immigrants and also a few million of people who live nearby and come to work to Moscow every day, so the official 12 mln boosts up to an official estimate of 20 mln, while everybody is pretty sure that officials estimate way less illegal immigrants than there really are.
For example, I work for a major German company, and every fourth of my colleagues is in Moscow illegally. Just imagine what this number would be if I worked elsewhere. As for number of cars - the driver was wrong for sure. But it seems like you already know why one might think so :)
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lcbn 1:11AM (8/29/2008)
What Rimu said is correct. Rimu can you please give me your mail Id
digitalzombie 12:14AM (8/29/2008)
Hello Cold War, the Senate abandon Bush's bill to share nuclear technologies and weapons but rumors has it that they will pass it later on.
One of their leverage is oil and if we were to make EV and Hydrogen power cars then Russian can stick it where the sun don't shine.
It seems like noone in America knows the importance of this Georgia Russia conflict.
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Sarth 6:51AM (8/29/2008)
Though a part of Russia comes under Europe, but since Moscow, the political capital of Russia is located in Asia, the country belongs to Asia....
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rmc 7:23AM (8/29/2008)
Though a most populated part of Russia comes under Europe and Moscow is deep this side of Ural mountains (which is Europe), the country belongs to Europe... Though they definately enjoy best of both worlds, say considering the beauty of their women or amount of natural resources.
Dennis 7:22AM (8/29/2008)
Sarth..
Moscow is in Europe! Check your facts!
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gmpphotography 11:00AM (8/29/2008)
You really need to check your facts regarding car ownership in the rest of europe. See: http://www.nationmaster.com/encyclopedia/(List-of-countries-by-vehicles-per-capita. That is hardly 30%, regardless what math yhou are using.
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Vincenzo 11:46AM (8/29/2008)
Because of the latest conflict with Georgia, the USA and Europe want to impose economic sanctions on Russia.
Russia will say "Goodbye" to American, German, Italian cars.
Russia will say "Hello" to Chinese and Japanese cars.
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