Richard Parry-Jones: 180 MPG hatch by 2050
Richard Parry-Jones, who at one time acted as Ford's global Chief Technical Officer, believes that it is entirely possible for automakers to reach 180 miles per gallon by the year 2050 with nothing more than the technology available today. Along with that low fuel consumption comes low carbon emissions -- just 40 grams per kilometer -- well below the strictest standards today. Sound unbelievable? Get this: Parry-Jones suggests getting there by doing nothing more than just leaving the automakers alone. Basically, Ford's former CTO says that current market conditions will sort everything out and the governments should allow the automakers to pick and choose what technologies are the most promising. In the meantime, Parry-Jones suggests not burdening the industry with crippling standards, which, he argues, is a short-sighted, knee-jerk reaction to climate change.[Source: Autocar]
Reader Comments (Page 1 of 4)
Brent 3:11PM (7/26/2008)
We are going to be using gasoline in 2050?
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Kyle454ever 3:16PM (7/26/2008)
I was wondering the same thing. lol
Lad 3:37PM (7/26/2008)
Time has shown over and over again that there is no such thing as a free market auto business. For example, U.S. automakers are subsided by the government through the U.S. Battery Consortium and other hidden give-aways. China even sudsides the cost of gasoline to encourage car buyers. Remember when the U.S. bailed out Chrysler?...free market? Nope!
axiom 6:53PM (7/26/2008)
As current marketing conditions show, the automakers will always be a step behind consumer interest and market demands. If higher mpg had been went into effect years ago, the automakers might not be fending off liquidation, laying off thousands of workers, and idling plants. In other words its the AUTOMAKERS who need need regulations and standards the most. For their own best interests and ours.
Oh, and the only way we'd see 180"mpg" is with electric plugins. Of course we wouldn't be using gasoline, except maybe GM.
Dan 6:56PM (7/26/2008)
Even the most pessimistic estimates have more than 40 years of reasonably priced oil available. It'd be pretty bonehead stupid not to be using it.
Bungle 7:49PM (7/26/2008)
There will still be a U.S. auto industry in 2050?
Kotse 9:17PM (7/26/2008)
180mpg in 42yrs!?
In 1908, the Ford Model T can do 25mpg...
So where are we a hundred years later....
tankd0g 9:31PM (7/26/2008)
Since I doubt that 180mpg on gasoline is actually possible on anything by a fairing sporting moped. I'll assume he means the equivalent of 180mpg, which is quite possible in something like an EV, right now. It just costs too much to be worth it. In 2050 however, $80,000 for a 180mpg car might seem like a bargain in the face of $27/gal gas.
Gregersonk 1:20AM (7/27/2008)
Actually, I could get you 150mpg by 2012.
Make Tax incentives of 5k credit per car for 4 person plus passenger cars that get 60mpg or better at 75mph and 3K credit for 2 passenger cars that do this.
Throw in an extra 3k on both if they make 5 star crash ratings to boot.
So you could end up with a 5 star crash rated car that gets 60mpg and get an 8k bonus on your taxes for it.
Mike!!ekiM 9:53PM (7/26/2008)
Ford has shown NO Leadership in fuel economy. Ford, where's Your EV1? Where's Your Volt?
Without Government Regulation, they'll be selling our children 1000 HP Mustang GT's running on gas, while they starve from food shortages and dehydrate from water shortages.
When the "free market" starts to do what AMERICA needs it to do, then I'll stop believing in Effective Government Regulation.
Jake B 10:52PM (7/26/2008)
It is not up to the government to decide whether or not we should spend money on overpriced corn or overpriced gas. We should be able to buy whatever we wish to buy. Supply and Demand sorts itself out.
Randy 11:22PM (7/27/2008)
A+ Comment
zamafir 3:15PM (7/26/2008)
considering vw's actually producing their 1L car in a few years time (what was the last timeline? 2010ish?) - this doesn't sound that remarkable to me.
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CarlosMC 3:21PM (7/26/2008)
Hopefully, you'll mention the 308...
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info 3:28PM (7/26/2008)
The "Big Three" are a perfect example of what will happen to myopic automakers if they are are left alone.
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Blake 4:34PM (7/26/2008)
Natural selection?
Joce03 9:17PM (7/26/2008)
I don't understand why your comment gets a "low rank" when you are simply stating the obvious. Leaving automakers alone has led to N.American cars (the cars driven in N.America) being the least efficient in the world. And you can't deny that the American car industry is in trouble.
And, besides, there will probably be no more oil to burn by 2050! If we are lucky (or if we come to our senses), by 2050 electric cars, or some better technology will have spread throughout the car industry.
itsaboutchoice 3:29PM (7/26/2008)
But I don't want to burn gas and fund countries that want to kill me. He's not thinking about anything or anyone other than his industry. So sad.
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jzxjzr 4:11PM (7/26/2008)
Then you should support drilling for oil in our own country, either in ANWR or off the gulf coast, preferably both.
VWsat 4:28PM (7/26/2008)
I don't understand where the conception that the oil the US recieves comes primarily from hostile nations.
From the DOE, the top 5 nations, in order (with number of barrels per day)
1. Canada (1889)
2. Saudi Arabia (1531)
3. Mexico (1207)
4. Nigeria (1030)
5. Venezuela (998)
Alaska/Gulf drilling might be a short term solution, but high oil prices will force capatilistic society to find a new, cheap energy solution. Until it is cost effective to find a new form of transportation energy, it won't happen.
Personally, I'd prefer short term pain from gas prices with the long term gain of becoming self sufficient. Whether it is electric (Hydro/Tidal/Solar/Nuclear), Biomass or some other crazy form it is better than relying on a limited resource.